[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 012026
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE OCT  4 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  89.8W      41  X  X  X 41   MMMD 210N 897W    36  1  X  X 37
21.0N  91.8W      16 13  1  X 30   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
21.4N  93.6W       1 19  3  1 24   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W    62  X  X  X 62   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  4  4
MZBZ 175N 883W     3  X  1  X  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  8  9
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  4  9 13   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  8  7 15   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  3  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  1  8  6 15   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
MMVR 192N 961W     X  1  5  6 12   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     3  6  2  2 13   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  4  8 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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