[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 010837
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 01 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE OCT  4 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.0N  35.0W      62  X  X  X 62   17.5N  36.5W       8 14  4  1 27
16.0N  35.5W      39  1  X  X 40

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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