[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 182033
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST MON NOV 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.3N  86.8W      45  X  X  X 45   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  8  8
18.2N  87.1W      28  2  X  X 30   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  7  7
20.0N  86.5W       6 11  5  1 23   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  6  6
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  3  6  9   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 10 10   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 10 10
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  4 10 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 10 10
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1 12 13   VENICE FL          X  X  X 10 10
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1 11  6 18   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
MMCZ 205N 869W     2 12  7  2 23   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  6  6
MZBZ 175N 883W    21  3  X  1 25   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W    11  2  1  X 14   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5
MHNJ 165N 859W    99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  4  4
MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  X  1  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  1  1  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  5  5
MMMD 210N 897W     X  7  8  2 17   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  X 11 11   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
C FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
D FROM  1PM SUN TO  1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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