[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 150830
SPFAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI NOV 18 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.0N  69.8W      46  X  X  X 46   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 10 10
15.2N  71.8W      16 16  1  X 33   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  8  6 14
15.3N  74.0W       X 15 11  1 27   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  9  9
SKPG 125N 717W     2  9  2  2 15   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  6  6
TNCC 122N 690W     1  1  1  1  4   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  5  5
MDSD 185N 697W     3  8  1  X 12   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     3 20  1  X 24   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X 12  6  1 19   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W     X  7 13  1 21   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X 10 10 20   MDPP 198N 707W     X  3  3  X  6
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  4 14 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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