[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 250203
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A SHARP TROPICAL WAVE IS
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THEN
EXTENDING SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE
MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR A SMALL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS
DEVELOPED ABOUT 170 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME A LITTLE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...AND A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM ON SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW. INTERESTS ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST...
ESPECIALLY IN THE CAROLINAS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

ANOTHER AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS JAMAICA TO EASTERN
CUBA AND HISPANIOLA.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD OCCUR OVER
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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