[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 132119
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON JUN 13 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JAMAICA IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AND REPORTS FROM TWO NOAA
BUOYS INDICATE SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOWER THAN NORMAL AND ARE
CONTINUING TO SLOWLY FALL IN THE AREA. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS IN THIS AREA ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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