[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 111441
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  88.0W      36  3  X  X 39   GULFPORT MS       62  X  X  X 62
37.5N  87.5W       1 30  X  X 31   BURAS LA          11  X  X  X 11
APALACHICOLA FL    7  X  X  X  7   NEW ORLEANS LA     4  X  X  X  4
PANAMA CITY FL    42  X  X  X 42   GULF 29N 85W       8  X  X  X  8
PENSACOLA FL      99  X  X  X 99   GULF 29N 87W      99  X  X  X 99
MOBILE AL         79  X  X  X 79

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
C FROM  7PM SUN TO  7AM MON
D FROM  7AM MON TO  7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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