[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 10 05:38:43 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KMOB 101038
HLSMOB
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101622-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
537 AM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND THE
EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES
OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA
COUNTIES OF NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI. FOR THE LATEST UPDATES REGARDING THE INLAND TROPICAL
STORM WATCH...PLEASE REFER TO BHMNPWMOB.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM CDT...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST OR ABOUT 10
MILES...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. ARLENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ON GUARD LATER TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY FOR ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...40 MPH OR HIGHER...AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN. RESIDENTS IN
LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY
EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. TIE DOWN REMAINING DEBRIS LEFT OVER FROM
HURRICANE IVAN...AND ALSO...SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED
ABOUT IN THE WIND.

ACROSS INLAND AREAS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG RIVERS SHOULD MONITOR
RIVER LEVELS AND THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST.


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS...WAVE ACTION AND RISING TIDE LEVELS WILL
ACT IN CONCERT TO CREATE COASTAL EROSION. EXTENSIVE EROSION CAUSED BY
HURRICANE IVAN REMAINS! THIS MAKES COASTAL AREAS VERY VULNERABLE TO
BREACHES AND/OR GENERAL INUNDATION.

HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 2 PM BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
TIDE LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND 2 TO
3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON SATURDAY. INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT
IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. THE
LATTER IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FROM THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO
JUST EAST OF NAVARRE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE
BEACHES AS EARLY AS MIDDAY SATURDAY AND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST PATH OF ARLENE...
WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA WEST OF INTERSTATE-65. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CEASE NO EARLIER THAN MID MORNING
ON SUNDAY.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
BEGINNING TODAY...THE THREAT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BECOME
HIGH DUE TO INCREASING HIGH SURF AND STRONG ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE
DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL
ARLENE MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR JUST EAST
OF ARLENE'S PATH. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR
ARLENE'S EXACT PATH AS WELL AS WIND INTENSITY. PLEASE SEE BHMFFAMOB
FOR THE LATEST ON THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SITUATION.

...TORNADO THREAT...AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE IN RESPONSE
TO ARLENE'S DEVELOPMENT AND APPROACH. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BEGIN
TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE REGION AND WILL REMAIN AT A
SOMEWHAT ELEVATED LEVEL UNTIL ARLENE MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES WELL
INLAND LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY
11 AM CDT THIS MORNING.

MEDLIN

$$
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