[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 29 09:36:03 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 291435
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON AUG  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

45.5N  53.5W      26  X  X  X 26   PTX BASQUES NFLD   3  X  X  X  3
HALIFAX NS         2  X  X  X  2   BURGEO NFLD        6  X  X  X  6
SABLE ISLAND NS   36  X  X  X 36   ILE ST PIERRE     16  X  X  X 16
SYDNEY NS          7  X  X  X  7   CAPE RACE NFLD    19  X  X  X 19
EDDY POINT NS      6  X  X  X  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    5  X  X  X  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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