[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 29 09:35:21 CDT 2005


WTNT41 KNHC 291435
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

TENACIOUS FRANKLIN STILL HAS A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR
THE CENTER AND THE CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...
THE OVERALL CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 45
KNOTS AND FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 19 KNOTS...
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE WESTERLIES. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN
ABOUT 12 HOURS...AND WILL LIKELY BE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
THEREAFTER.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      29/1500Z 41.4N  61.8W    45 KT
 12HR VT     30/0000Z 43.0N  58.5W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     30/1200Z 45.5N  53.5W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     31/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
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