[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 080925
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-081530-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
525 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH CUBA
COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE
COUNTY NORTHWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY IN MANATEE COUNTY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT...HURRICANE DENNIS HAS BEEN PARALLELING THE
SOUTH CUBA COAST...TRACKING WEST NORTHWEST AS COMPARED TO NORTHWEST
DURING MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY WHILE SKIRTING NORTH OF JAMAICA.
THIS WESTWARD JOG...SHOULD IT CONTINUE...MAY REDUCE THE THREAT FOR
TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
SHORELINE OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...
LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...
HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH
TO LONGBOAT KEY.

...STORM LOCATION...
AT 5 AM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 545 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE
RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM.  AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...THAT PART OF THE STORM WILL AFFECT
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THEREFORE INCREASING THE TORNADO
THREAT FOR THE AREA.  THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED TORNADO LATER TODAY
OR THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...BUT THE GREATER THREAT WILL
BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS PASSES
OUR LATITUDE...INCREASING THE THREAT FOR LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND
ROTATION OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS...ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
DENNIS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PORTION OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY PRODUCING TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER AT LEAST THE OUTER LEG OF THE COASTAL
WATERS.  GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THERE.  THE
LATEST TRACK AND SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST EFFECTS MAY BE LESS ON
THE SUNCOAST...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ONLY OCCURRING
WITH GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS IN FEEDER BANDS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWESTWARD SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME ONSHORE
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND BEGIN TO RAISE WATER LEVELS 2
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.  HOWEVER...SHOULD DENNIS TRACK A BIT
FARTHER WEST...MUCH OF THE FLOW WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...REDUCING THE
THREAT FOR STORM SURGE.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS
OF TORRENTIAL RAIN...BECOMING MOST FREQUENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR
SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH.

STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS WHERE PERSISTENT BANDS DEVELOP. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL
FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL
TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO PERHAPS MODERATE RISES
LATER THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
AS DENNIS MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WINDS AND
SEAS WILL INCREASE GREATLY OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF MAKING
CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
MARINERS SHOULD POSTPONE TRAVEL UNTIL AFTER DENNIS MOVES INLAND AND
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 11 AND 1130 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

BSG

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