[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 030911
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR LONGITUDE 86W.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  INTERESTS IN AND NEAR THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  SQUALLS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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