[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Dec 7 02:34:51 CST 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 070832
SPFAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED DEC 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  36.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT DEC 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.7N  38.5W      31  X  X  X 31   26.0N  40.0W      12  4  2  X 18
26.5N  39.5W      17  2  1  X 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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