[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Dec 6 14:44:32 CST 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 062042
SPFAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE DEC 06 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  34.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI DEC  9 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.4N  37.0W      29  1  X  X 30   26.5N  38.7W      11  5  2  1 19
27.1N  38.2W      17  2  1  1 21

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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