[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 5 09:41:26 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 051441
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON AUG  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  56.5W      35  X  1  X 36   37.0N  54.5W       1 10  4  3 18
35.5N  56.0W      16  5  1  1 23   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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