[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 170228
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  33.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.1N  37.4W      46  X  X  X 46   13.2N  41.1W       1 22  2  1 26
12.5N  39.3W      23  9  1  X 33

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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