[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 132042
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 13 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.5N  64.2W      53  X  X  X 53   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  6  6
18.4N  66.1W      12 24  X  X 36   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  7  7
19.4N  68.0W       X 17 11  1 29   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFF 146N 610W    14  X  X  X 14   TJSJ 184N 661W    12 24  X  X 36
TDPR 153N 614W    65  X  X  X 65   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X 12  8 20
80400 157N 636W   35  X  X  X 35   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  7 13 20
TFFR 163N 615W    99  X  X  X 99   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1 15 16
TAPA 171N 618W    94  X  X  X 94   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 11 11
TKPK 173N 627W    76  X  X  X 76   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  8  8
TNCM 181N 631W    60  X  X  X 60   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
TISX 177N 648W    46  X  X  X 46   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
TIST 183N 650W    39  4  X  X 43   ST CROIX VI       46  X  X  X 46
TJPS 180N 666W     5 27  X  X 32   ST THOMAS VI      39  4  X  X 43
MDSD 185N 697W     X  2 15  3 20   SAN JUAN PR       12 24  X  X 36
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  4  7 11   PONCE PR           5 27  X  X 32
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  2 10 12

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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WWWW
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