[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 010831
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 01 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP  4 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

48.0N  44.6W      27  5  X  X 32   ILE ST PIERRE      9  X  X  X  9
50.9N  34.3W       X 13  2  X 15   CAPE RACE NFLD    24  X  X  X 24
51.8N  25.3W       X  1  8  X  9   HIBERNIA OILFLD   28  1  X  X 29
SABLE ISLAND NS   33  X  X  X 33

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER RHOME/JARVINEN


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