[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT45 KNHC 112029
TCDAT5
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2004

THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AS IT COMBINES WITH A LARGE
MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH FROM BAROCLINIC
ENERGY SOURCES MAY OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES.

ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN SOME MORE ACCELERATION TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST...THE GUIDANCE INDICATES SOME SLOWING OF FORWARD
SPEED WITHIN 12-24 HOURS...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE LEFT.  LATER IN
THE PERIOD...THE FORWARD SPEED SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN AS THE CYCLONE
ENCOUNTERS A FASTER WESTERLY STEERING CURRENT.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON NICOLE.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER
FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER PASCH

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      11/2100Z 40.0N  61.0W    45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 12HR VT     12/0600Z 42.0N  61.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     12/1800Z 43.5N  61.5W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     13/0600Z 45.0N  61.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     13/1800Z 48.0N  59.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     14/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM

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