[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 111430
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU OCT 14 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

41.0N  63.0W      30  1  X  X 31   ST JOHN NB         X  7  5  2 14
42.0N  63.0W      21  1  1  X 23   MONCTON NB         X  6  5  3 14
44.0N  62.0W       3  9  3  2 17   YARMOUTH NS        3  8  3  1 15
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  X  1  2   HALIFAX NS         1 10  3  2 16
PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  1  1  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    1  8  4  2 15
NANTUCKET MA       X  3  1  1  5   SYDNEY NS          X  3  7  4 14
HYANNIS MA         X  3  1  1  5   EDDY POINT NS      X  7  5  3 15
BOSTON MA          X  2  1  1  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  1  5  5 11
PORTLAND ME        X  2  3  1  6   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  4  6 10
BAR HARBOR ME      X  5  4  1 10   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  4  5  9
EASTPORT ME        X  7  4  1 12   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  1  5  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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