[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 110215
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004

...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS BERMUDA AS NICOLE PASSES TO THE NORTH...

A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
THE WARNING AND WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED BY EARLY MONDAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.0 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTH EXPECTED BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM....MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A
WIND GUST TO 45 MPH WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY AS NICOLE MOVES FARTHER WAY FROM THE ISLAND.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES...
BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM BERMUDA.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...33.1 N... 65.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


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