[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Nov 10 10:29:10 CST 2004


ABNT20 KNHC 101628
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST WED NOV 10 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE TO
DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD.  THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER
...ANOTHER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THURSDAY
...IF NECESSARY.  EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...
THE SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...POSSIBLY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFAT2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.

ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COASTAL REGIONS OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

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