[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Nov 9 20:58:32 CST 2004


ABNT20 KNHC 100258
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST TUE NOV 9 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS POTENTIAL FOR
FURTHER SLOW DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...IF NECESSARY.
EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM SHOULD
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD
SLIDES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFAT2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

$$

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