[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 300236
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.9N  71.9W      29  4  X  X 33   MONTAUK POINT NY   X 20  X  X 20
41.2N  70.4W       X 17  X  X 17   PROVIDENCE RI      X 16  X  X 16
CAPE HATTERAS NC   3  X  X  X  3   NANTUCKET MA       X 15  X  X 15
NORFOLK VA         4  2  X  X  6   HYANNIS MA         X 14  X  X 14
OCEAN CITY MD     12  7  X  X 19   BOSTON MA          X 12  X  X 12
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   5 15  X  X 20   PORTLAND ME        X  4  X  X  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   1 18  X  X 19

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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