[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT75 KNHC 160238
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 15 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED AUG 18 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.3N  72.9W      47  1  X  X 48   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  9 10
14.9N  76.5W       X 36  1  X 37   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4
15.5N  80.0W       X  3 26  X 29   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 10 10
SKPG 125N 717W    14  X  X  X 14   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X 13 13
TNCC 122N 690W    13  X  X  X 13   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X 11 11
MDCB 176N 714W     3  1  X  X  4   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  7  7
MTCA 183N 738W     X  6  1  X  7   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X 16 16
MKJP 179N 768W     X 14  8  1 23   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  4 12 16
MKJS 185N 779W     X  4 15  X 19   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X 10  9 19   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  5  7 12
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  3  4   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  6  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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