[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 130639
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130930-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY CLEARS CUBAN COAST...

...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA...GEORGIA
AND SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM JUPITER INLET FLORIDA...NORTH TO
SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...
CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...
NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...MARION...
GILCHRIST...PUTNAM...CLAY AND BRADFORD COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CAMDEN...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GLYNN...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS
COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...BAKER...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON...
SUWANNEE...UNION AND ALSO FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...
CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...
WARE...AND WAYNE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
KEY WEST AND CUBAN RADAR INDICATE THAT AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE EYE
OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED OVER THE CUBAN COAST NEAR LATITUDE
23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.6 WEST ABOUT 14 MILES...22 KM...WEST OF
DOWNTOWN HAVANA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING
THE EYE OF CHARLEY AROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON EXACT LOCAL EFFECTS FROM
CHARLEY. ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT 24 HOURS ARE NEAR 80 MILES.
INTERESTS IN THE REGION...INCLUDING INLAND AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.  IT IS
PROBABLE THAT TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVER SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.  EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. INTERESTS IN THE
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA SHOULD HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...
BATTERIES AND A BATTERY OPERATED RADIO IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGE. NEVER
USE CANDLES DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OF FIRE. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE A
FULLY STOCKED HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KIT IN PLACE. A SUPPLY OF
DRINKING WATER...BABY SUPPLIES AND ANY PRESCRIPTION MEDICATION ARE
THE HIGHEST PRIORITIES FOR YOUR KIT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
PARALLEL TO THE COAST INITIALLY.  AS CHARLEY APPROACHES THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST WINDS ALONG THE FIRST COAST WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY AND
NORTHEASTERLY BY TOMORROW EVENING. THEREFORE MINOR TIDAL SURGE
FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST SIMILAR TO
A LOCAL NOREASTER...PEAKING ABOUT 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST RISK OF SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE OVER ALACHUA...MARION...GILCHRIST...
PUTNAM...CLAY AND BRADFORD COUNTIES. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION IN
THE STORM TRACK...INTENSITY OR FORWARD MOTION...COULD BRING HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS TO OTHER PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
INTERESTS IN NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE URGED TO KEEP
ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS RELATIVE TO
HURRICANE CHARLEY. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
NECESSARY FOR SOME PORTION OR ALL OF THE WATCH AREA FRIDAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.  CONFUSED HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON.  ANY PERSONS WHO ARE NOT EXPERT
SWIMMERS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE SURF TODAY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT IN
THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA AND PERIODS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS
TODAY. AS THE HURRICANE MOVES NORTH..ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED AS CHARLEY TRANSITS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. RIVER LEVELS ARE
CURRENTLY LOW AND...AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS
EXPECTED. FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND INTERESTS
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. AREAS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
SUWANNEE VALLEY ARE NEAR SATURATION AND MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING PRIOR TO HURRICANE LANDFALL.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBLE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING AS TROPICAL MOISTURE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM...AND APPROACHING
HURRICANE CHARLEY ALL INTERACT ACROSS THE REGION. TORNADOES CAN AND
DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING...REMAIN ALERT FOR DETERIORATING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 0500 AM EDT OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE CHARLEY.

$$

WELSH

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