[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jul 29 17:53:35 CDT 2023


ACUS11 KWNS 292253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292252
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-300045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1780
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0552 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023

Areas affected...southern Illinois and Indiana...western Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 572...

Valid 292252Z - 300045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 572
continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of severe wind gusts remains likely with an MCS
moving across southern Illinois and toward southwest Indiana.

DISCUSSION...A small but impressive MCS continues to produce severe
wind gusts as it travels across far southern IL.  This system has
generally maintained a motion to east/southeast down the instability
axis. Recent radar trends show additional rightward propagation,
suggesting severe winds will become likely into parts of western KY.


The air mass has been cooled over much of central KY southward into
eastern-Middle TN in the wake of earlier storms. As such, the
greatest threat through this evening appears to be within the
existing watch 572, which contains the expected eastward extent of
the threat well. Given the strong instability and very moist air
mass into the remainder of western KY and portions of TN, trends
will need to be monitored for possible watch expansion.

..Jewell.. 07/29/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   38818906 38848857 38718785 38648743 38578713 38448690
            38198680 37658672 36908666 36528705 36578869 36998955
            37388979 37758939 38078925 38428918 38818906
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