[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 021942
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021942
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-022145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1389
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 PM CDT Sun Jul 02 2023

Areas affected...southeast MO vicinity into western and Middle TN
and western into central KY

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430...431...

Valid 021942Z - 022145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430, 431
continues.

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity is expected to increase over the
next couple of hours across parts of western/central Kentucky into
western and Middle Tennessee. Damaging wind risk continues across WW
430 and 431.

DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are developing between two main
clusters of storms (one along the Ohio River to the MO/AR border to
the north, and the other across MS/AL to the south). In addition to
new development, ongoing thunderstorm clusters are expected to move
into parts of western/south-central KY and western/Middle TN with
time. Moderate instability and favorable shear amid a very moist
airmass will continue to support strong/damaging wind potential the
remainder of the afternoon into early evening.

Deepening cumulus are evident over eastern portions of the
Louisville forecast area (east-central KY). Depending on convective
trends across this area, a downstream watch may be needed across
parts of eastern KY by around 21-22z.

..Leitman.. 07/02/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   34998997 35028843 35158739 35448664 36038529 36578425
            37448366 37548361 37918364 38118383 37748610 37448832
            36858928 36268981 35869016 35389031 34998997
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