[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Apr 15 23:52:40 CDT 2023


ACUS11 KWNS 160452
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160452
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-160615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0543
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

Areas affected...Southern IN...Western KY/TN...Northern MS...Extreme
northwest AL

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142...144...

Valid 160452Z - 160615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 142, 144
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/damaging gusts cannot be ruled out over
the next 1-2 hours, but a continued weakening trend is expected with
time.

DISCUSSION...A weakening QLCS is ongoing late this evening from
southern IN into northern MS. The general weakening trend is
expected to continue as the QLCS encounters increasingly hostile
thermodynamic conditions downstream. However, isolated
strong/damaging gusts cannot be ruled out for the next 1-2 hours,
especially where stronger convection can persist or redevelop in
closer proximity to the gust front.

Given the overall weakening trend, additional downstream watch
issuance is not expected.

..Dean/Bunting.. 04/16/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   33239146 34579026 34798910 35318835 36218819 36568821
            37568787 38268724 38418677 37948654 36518676 34368772
            33668888 32979001 32799063 32709127 33239146
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