[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Mar 31 01:29:55 CDT 2022


ACUS11 KWNS 310629
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310629
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-310830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0373
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0129 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

Areas affected...Southeast Tennessee...Far Western North
Carolina...Northern and Western Georgia...Eastern Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 84...

Valid 310629Z - 310830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 84 continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for wind damage, isolated large hail and a brief
tornado will continue for several more hours from parts of southeast
Tennessee southward into western Georgia and eastern Alabama.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a well-developed
squall line located from eastern Alabama extending northward into
eastern Tennessee. The line is located in weak instability according
to the RAP with MLCAPE in the 250 to 500 J/kg range. In spite of
this, the right entrance region of an 80 to 110 knot mid-level jet
is located in central Alabama. This feature will move
east-northeastward across northeast Alabama and northwest Georgia
over the next 3 to 4 hours. In response, lift and deep-layer shear
will strengthen making conditions favorable for severe storms. The
stronger bowing line segments within the line may produce wind
damage. A brief tornado may also be possible with rotating cells
embedded in the line. Isolated large hail could also occur with the
more intense parts of the line. The threat should move eastward into
western Georgia before daybreak where new weather watch issuance
will need to be considered.

..Broyles.. 03/31/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...

LAT...LON   35848483 35808514 35588538 34818536 32848603 31758580
            31688516 31818441 32418402 34838386 35518424 35848483
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