[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 141037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141036
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-141130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0336
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0536 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

Areas affected...southern Alabama and portions of the Florida
Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 58...

Valid 141036Z - 141130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 58 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues WW 58.

DISCUSSION...A linear complex continues to migrate
east-northeastward across western portions of WW 58.  Areas of
rotation have been observed within individual cells within the band,
which isn't surprising given very strong low-level shear indicated
in mesoanalyses and VAD wind profiler data from WSR-88D MXX.
Instability values also remain around 1000-1500 J/kg MUCAPE owing to
upper 60s F dewpoints just ahead of the storms.  With a motion of
230/45, these storms should eventually reach eastern portions of the
WW around 12-13Z.  With a similar environment in place across those
areas (with respect to shear/instability), it seems plausible that
at least an isolated severe threat will persist as storms eventually
approach southwest Georgia and vicinity after about 13Z.  The need
for a WW will be re-evaluated at that time.

..Cook.. 04/14/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35748669 35858613 35858557 35488493 34828469 33848464
            33218476 32718514 32468573 32358641 32488687 32848711
            33388717 34178708 34998694 35448693 35748669
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