[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 312249
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312249
KYZ000-TNZ000-312345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0549 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MIDDLE TN...S-CNTRL/SERN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 71...

VALID 312249Z - 312345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 71
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...PRIMARY STRONG TO SVR WIND GUST THREAT WITHIN WW 71 IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL LINE SEGMENT MOVING THROUGH S-CNTRL KY. THIS
THREAT MAY EXTEND SLIGHTLY E OF WW 71 INTO SERN KY...BUT DRIER AIR
ACROSS THIS AREA SHOULD LEAD TO A GENERAL REDUCTION IN TSTM
INTENSITY WITH EWD PROGRESSION.

DISCUSSION...A LONG-LIVED LINE SEGMENT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EWD
ACROSS S-CNTRL KY...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF STRONG TO SVR WIND
GUSTS. THIS ACTIVITY IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE ERN EDGE OF WW
71...AND THE ACCOMPANYING WIND THREAT MAY EXTEND FARTHER E INTO
PARTS OF SERN KY. HOWEVER...RECENT SFC OBS CONFIRM DRIER AIR IS
PRESENT ACROSS THIS AREA WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN THE LOW-MID 50S F.
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LIMITED BUOYANCY HERE...THE WIND THREAT SHOULD
BECOME MORE LOCALIZED WITH EWD PROGRESSION...AND A NEW DOWNSTREAM WW
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..ROGERS.. 03/31/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   37138330 36408423 35938581 36288665 36788670 37498562
            37898378 37828303 37138330
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather