[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Mar 31 16:49:28 CDT 2016


ACUS11 KWNS 312148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312147
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-312245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0311
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0447 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...MS...WRN/CNTRL AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 70...

VALID 312147Z - 312245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 70 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES WILL PERSIST
WITHIN WW 70...AND LIKELY DEVELOP E INTO WRN AL THROUGH EVENING. A
NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED DOWNSTREAM BY 23Z.

DISCUSSION...A COUPLE CORRIDORS OF DISCRETE TO SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS
ARE PRESENT WITHIN WW 70 MAINLY OVER PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN MS AND ALONG
THE MS/TN BORDER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL POSE A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL AMID STRONG MID/UPPER SPEED SHEAR PER DGX VWP DATA.
INCREASINGLY AGITATED CU/CB DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS
E-CNTRL/NERN MS BETWEEN THE ONGOING TSTM CORRIDORS. WITH A REMNANT
LARGE-SCALE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EVIDENT FROM CNTRL AL INTO FAR NERN
MS...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL BE COMPARATIVELY LARGER WITH ERN
EXTENT GIVEN 0-1 KM SRH AROUND 200 M2/S2. MIXED CONVECTIVE MODES
SUPPORTING ALL HAZARDS APPEAR POSSIBLE INTO WRN/CNTRL AL FOR SEVERAL
HOURS THIS EVENING.

..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 03/31/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34349087 34949035 35128903 35088835 35008778 34058654
            33508627 32238677 31718762 31548869 31428956 31539026
            31759091 32379095 32859097 34349087
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