[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 071717
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071716
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-071815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1186
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IL...SRN IND...WRN KY...NWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 071716Z - 071815Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY INTO NWRN TN.  DAMAGING WINDS ARE
THE MAIN THREAT.

DISCUSSION...REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT MCS HAVE PROGRESSED INTO THE MID
MS VALLEY REGION.  STRONGER REFLECTIVITY IS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF THIS ACTIVITY AND CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SERN IL INTO SERN MO.
EWD MOVEMENT ALONG THE LEADING EDGE IS ROUGHLY 35KT...THROUGH HIGHER
SPEEDS ARE LIKELY WITH BOW-TYPE SURGE NEAR CGI.  AS BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY INTO A WELL-ORGANIZED
SQUALL LINE.  WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON TO ACCOUNT FOR DAMAGING WIND
THREAT.

..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 07/07/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...

LAT...LON   36618979 38778780 38358637 36368802 36618979
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