[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 062149
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062148
TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-062245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0448 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KY...MIDDLE/ERN TN...FAR SWRN VA...FAR WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337...

VALID 062148Z - 062245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MCS MOVING THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL KY AND MIDDLE TN MAY
CONTINUE TO POSE A STRONG TO DMGG WIND THREAT ACROSS WW 337.
ADDITIONAL LESS-ORGANIZED TSTMS ARE PERSISTING INTO ERN TN AND SERN
KY...WITH ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.
ALTHOUGH A NEW WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...CONVECTIVE TRENDS
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED PULSE TO LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS
SLOWLY SPREADING EWD ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND CNTRL KY...AHEAD OF A MORE
ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE LINE FARTHER TO THE W. REGIONAL VWP DATA
CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODEST MIDLEVEL FLOW /20-30 KT/ IS
PRESENT...AND WITH THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING AND
STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES THAT HAVE OCCURRED...ISOLATED
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. THE RELATIVELY
MORE WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT MAY CONTINUE TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH MCS
FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL KY INTO MIDDLE TN...BUT LATEST RADAR SCANS SHOWS
DEVELOPING CONVECTION OCCURRING WELL BEHIND OUTFLOW. SCATTERED TSTMS
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE MAY ALSO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS. RADAR TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF INCREASING ORGANIZATION/MAGNITUDE OF
THE DMGG WIND THREAT...IN WHICH CASE A NEW WATCH WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

..ROGERS.. 07/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36078300 35108375 35128476 35238605 35118737 35728799
            36148754 36948538 37238472 37208363 37078335 36078300
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