[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 142055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142055
SCZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-142200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1418
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS/AL/GA...WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 142055Z - 142200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS TN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SWD INTO
NRN MS/AL/GA AND NW SC WITH A CONTINUED SVR THREAT. A SVR TSTM WATCH
WILL BE NEEDED SHORTLY.

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS STRETCHES FROM FAR NE AR
ACROSS TN WITH RECENT RADAR INDICATIONS SUGGESTING UPSCALE GROWTH IS
UNDERWAY. A CONCENTRATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST WITH
THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE AR/TN BORDER. RECENT
FORWARD SPEED ON THIS SYSTEM IS AROUND 50 KT. OTHER PORTION OF THE
LINE HAS EXHIBITED SLOWER SEWD MOTION BUT THE CONTINUED UPSCALE
GROWTH AS WELL AS A MODERATE INCREASE IN NWLY FLOW WILL LIKELY
ACCELERATE THIS PORTION OF THE LINE OF STORMS AS WELL. AS SUCH...SVR
THREAT WILL CONTINUE FARTHER S IN NRN MS/AL/GA AND WRN SC WITH A SVR
TSTM WATCH NEEDED SHORTLY TO COVER THIS THREAT.

..MOSIER/HART.. 07/14/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   34919029 35238990 35298825 35258494 35158384 35138315
            35048125 34688091 34038165 33828476 33828897 34219050
            34919029
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