[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 030036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030035
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-030230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1804
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE TX...FAR NRN LA...AR...SE MO...FAR SW
KY...FAR WRN TN...FAR NW MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 519...

VALID 030035Z - 030230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 519 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ALL SVR HAZARDS CONTINUES ACROSS TOR WATCH 519.
PRIMARY THREAT IS CURRENTLY DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE THREAT FOR
TORNADOES WITHIN THE LINE INCREASING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES.

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM SE
MO SWD THROUGH AR THEN SWWD INTO CNTRL TX. CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTS THE MOST PROMINENT DAMAGING-WIND THREAT EXISTS ACROSS AR
WHERE SEVERAL BOWING SEGMENTS EXIST. FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM
ACROSS AR IS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KT. ACTIVITY NEAR CONWAY COUNTY HAS
RECENTLY SURGED FORWARD. DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

ADDITIONALLY...AREA VAD PROFILES SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS BEGINNING
TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. AS THIS OCCURS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL
INCREASE WITH A RESULTANT INCREASE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF VORTICES
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE.

..MOSIER.. 10/03/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...
SHV...

LAT...LON   32659536 37459100 37458698 32639160 32659536


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather