[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 040116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040116
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-040215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0816 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL...FAR SWRN IND...AND
PART OF WRN KY/NWRN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 53...

VALID 040116Z - 040215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 53 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING ALL SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS REMAIN
A THREAT ACROSS WW 53.  A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY FOR PARTS OF
NERN AR...FAR NWRN TN/WRN KY...FAR SRN IL AND ADJACENT SWRN IND.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY EARLY THIS EVENING
SHOWED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING FROM NORTH CENTRAL AR NEWD
THROUGH SERN MO AND INTO FAR SRN IL...WITH THIS ACTIVITY OCCURRING
IN AN AREA OF STRENGTHENING AND BACKING LOW LEVEL WINDS.  THESE
STRONGER SLY WINDS ARE ENHANCING LOW LEVEL WAA AND SHEAR...AS HEIGHT
FALLS SPREADING ACROSS AND E OF WW 53 THIS EVENING FURTHER SUPPORT
NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT...BOTH NEAR A WARM FRONT IN SERN MO TO FAR SRN
IL AND WRN KY...AND WITHIN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR.

EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR EXCEEDING 50 KT IS SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WHILE PAH WSR-88D VWP SHOWED THE
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS RESULTING IN SFC-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 40
KT AND 0-3 KM SRH AROUND 500 M2/S2.

..PETERS/THOMPSON.. 04/04/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   34609129 34319252 34649392 35879327 37719143 37969018
            38198877 37978761 37538727 36488799 35848883 35358984
            34609129


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