[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 211645
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211645
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-211745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AR...NWRN MS...WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 211645Z - 211745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS
THUNDERSTORMS INTENSIFY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT/SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.

DISCUSSION...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT
SPREADS ACROSS THE SABINE RIVER INTO AR/LA.  NUMEROUS SMALL
SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS SERN TX/WRN LA OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS AND MORE DISCRETE CONVECTION IS NOW SPREADING NEWD INTO SERN
AR...AS EVIDENT BY ORGANIZED UPDRAFT OVER UNION COUNTY.  THIS STORM
HAS STRENGTHENED NEAR THE SHALLOW POLAR FRONT AND SHOULD LIFT NEWD
TOWARD THE MEMPHIS METRO REGION...NEAR/JUST WEST OF SAGGING FRONTAL
ZONE.  STRONGLY SHEARED AIRMASS SHOULD ENHANCE TORNADO THREAT FOR
WARM SECTOR UPDRAFTS THAT STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY.

..DARROW/MEAD.. 12/21/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON   33619298 34639155 35868991 36568919 36518839 36118814
            35158870 34288933 33579016 33309116 33259239 33619298



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather