[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 21 12:52:02 CDT 2023


ABNT20 KNHC 211751
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nigel, located over the north-central Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure a couple hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
are beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward
at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster R. Zelinsky/Reinhart
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