[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 201144
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is currently located just off the west coast of
Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
late this week or this weekend while the system moves generally
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form east of the
Florida peninsula late this week.  This system could acquire some
subtropical characteristics by this weekend while it moves generally
northward.  Regardless of development, this low is likely to bring
gusty winds to gale force, heavy rain, and high surf to portions of
the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic United States late this week and into
this weekend.  Additional information on this system can be found
in High Seas Forecasts and products from your local National
Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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