[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 190541
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by
Wednesday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for gradual development of the wave thereafter, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while
the system moves westward across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form east of
the Florida peninsula late this week.  This system could acquire
some subtropical characteristics this weekend while it moves
generally northward.  Regardless of subtropical development, this
low could bring gusty winds, heavy rain, and high surf conditions to
portions of the coastal Carolinas into the coastal Mid-Atlantic
states this weekend.  Please see products from your local National
Weather Service office for more details.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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