[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 071124
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 7 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lee, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with an area of low pressure located over the eastern
tropical Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental
conditions are generally conducive for additional development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so
while the disturbance moves toward the west-northwest at about 15
mph.  Heavy rain and gusty winds associated with this system are
now occurring over the Cabo Verde Islands, and these conditions are
expected to continue during the next several hours.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with Post-Tropical
Cyclone Franklin, located a few hundred miles west-northwest of the
northwestern coast of Spain, have not become better organized and
the system remains frontal.  The chances of subtropical or tropical
development have decreased as the system meanders northwest of Spain
and Portugal. Environmental conditions are expected to become even
more unfavorable for development by tonight.  For additional
information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued
by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and online at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2

$$
Forecaster Kelly/D. Zelinsky
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