[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 040536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gert, located over the central subtropical Atlantic, and on
recently downgraded Tropical Depression Katia, located over the
eastern subtropical Atlantic.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization
in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical depression in two or three days.
Additional strengthening is likely late this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the
central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the African coast in a
couple of days.  Environmental conditions could support some slow
development starting midweek while the wave moves to the west-
northwest at about 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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