[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 23 21:32:41 CDT 2023


WTNT31 KNHC 240232
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-One Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL212023
1100 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2023

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 83.4W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coast of Nicaragua should monitor the progress
of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-One was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 83.4
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. On the
forecast track, the depression will move inland over the next few
hours over eastern Nicaragua.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast. The depression is forecast
to dissipate inland over Nicaragua tomorrow.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Twenty-One can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO
header WTNT41 KNHC.

RAINFALL:  The tropical depression is expected to produce additional
rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches
across Nicaragua and 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches
across southern and eastern Honduras. These rains are likely to
produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of
higher terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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