[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 181740
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands (AL94):
Recent visible satellite images indicate that the circulation
associated with an area of low pressure located about 700 miles
east of the Windward Islands is gradually becoming better defined.
In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is
becoming more organized, and satellite-derived wind data indicated
that the system is already producing winds to tropical storm force.
Continued development is anticipated, and a tropical storm is
expected to form later today or tonight while moving westward or
west-northwestward toward the Lesser Antilles.

Interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the
progress of the disturbance.  Advisories may be initiated on this
system as early as later this afternoon, and could include the
issuance of watches for some of the islands.  Regardless of
development, this system has the potential to bring gusty winds,
heavy rainfall, and flash flooding to portions of the Lesser
Antilles beginning on Friday.  Additional information, including
storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Berg
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