[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 150507
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a broad trough of low
pressure. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form
late this week while the system begins moving northeastward across
the western and central portions of the Caribbean Sea. Interests in
Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, the southeastern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, this system has
the potential to produce heavy rains over portions of the Caribbean
coast of Central America and the Greater Antilles through the end of
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Offshore Southeast Coast of United States:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop near southern Florida
in a day or so. This system is then forecast to move northeastward
near the Bahamas and offshore of the east coast of the U.S. late
this week and over the weekend. Although development into a tropical
cyclone appears unlikely, this system is expected to  produce gusty
winds and heavy rains across portions of southern Florida, the
Florida Keys, and the Bahamas during the next couple of days.  For
more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Kelly
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