[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 27
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092022
602 AM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

This product covers East Central Florida

**Ian Has Weakened To a Tropical Storm, Its Center Will Move Offshore
Later Today**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued and the Hurricane
      Warning has been cancelled for Coastal Volusia, Inland Northern
      Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
      Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
      Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola,
      Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Lake

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Indian River,
      Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Inland
      Indian River, Inland Martin, Inland Northern Brevard, Inland
      Saint Lucie, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia, Mainland
      Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard
      Barrier Islands, Northern Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola,
      Seminole, Southern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Lake

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 30 miles southwest of Cocoa Beach FL
    - 28.0N 80.9W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 40 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 500 AM, Ian had weakened to a Tropical Storm, centered about
10 miles west of Melbourne, or about 40 miles southeast of Orlando,
and moving NE at 8 mph. Ian's maximum sustained winds had decreased to
65 mph, with higher gusts.

Ian will maintain its strength as its center tracks northeast across
northern Brevard County this morning, and move offshore into the
Atlantic a little north of Cape Canaveral by mid day.

The Hurricane Warning for Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Osceola,
Brevard and Okeechobee Counties, including the adjacent Atlantic
waters, has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for all counties in east
central Florida and the adjacent Atlantic waters.

Widespread sustained winds at or near Tropical Storm Force will
continue early this morning, gusting well above tropical storm force,
and possibly at or near hurricane force near the center and in
numerous squalls to the north and east of the center.

The Flood Watch for Indian River, Saint Lucie, Martin and Okeechobee
Counties has been canceled as heavy rainfall has ended across the
area. A Flood Watch continues this morning from Osceola and Brevard
Counties northward.

Heavy rainfall will continue this morning from Osceola and Brevard
Counties northward, along and north of the track of Ian's center.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected in southern
Lake, Orange and northern Osceola and Brevard Counties, 3 to 5 inches
in Seminole and northern Lake Counties, and up to between 5 and
10 inches in Volusia County. Locally higher amounts will be possible,
and significant flooding will continue or worsen where these heavier
amounts fall.

A tornado or two will be possible over Volusia and northern Brevard
Counties early this morning, with the threat decreasing this afternoon
as the center as the center of Ian moves offshore into the Atlantic.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding from
northern Osceola and Brevard Counties northward. Remain well guarded
against life- threatening flood waters having additional devastating
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
      areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
      susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
East Central Florida. Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having
additional significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding north of
Sebastian Inlet. Remain well away from locally hazardous surge having
possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Volusia and
northern Brevard Counties. Remain well braced against a tornado event
having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:

    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around 12 Noon EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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