[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL092022
555 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Conditions ongoing in the Lower Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Monroe Upper Keys

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Monroe Lower Keys, Monroe Middle Keys, and Monroe Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 100 miles west-southwest of Key West FL or about 140
      miles west-southwest of Marathon FL
    - 24.0N 83.2W
    - Storm Intensity 120 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 500 PM EDT, the center of Hurricane Ian was located about 45 miles
south-southwest of the Dry Tortugas. Ian is moving toward the north
near 10 mph. A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduction in
forward speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Ian is expected to move over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico tonight, pass west of the Florida Keys later tonight, and
approach the west coast of Florida Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph, and re-strengthening is
expected tonight through Wednesday. Ian is forecast to approach the
west coast of Florida as an extremely dangerous major hurricane.

The threats and impacts to the Florida Keys have not changed with this
cycle. These threats will include damaging wind gusts from fast
moving, severe squalls, storm surge flooding 1 to 3 feet above normal
high tides, and an additional 4 to 6 inches of flooding rainfall, and
isolated tornadoes.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous winds having possible significant impacts
across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with minor
      damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
      buildings may experience window, door, and garage door
      failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
      Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Isolated power and communications outages possible.

* SURGE:
Protect against hazardous storm surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves.
    - Sections of secondary roads become weakened or washed out,
      especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Minor beach erosion.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rainfall
      flooding at low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
      streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains
      and retention ponds overflow. Some secondary road closures due
      to freshwater flooding.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile homes
      damaged, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted
      trees knocked over, and small boats pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Residents and visitors in campgrounds, recreational vehicles, travel
trailers, liveaboard vessels, and mobile homes should prepare to seek
shelter with friends or family in a safe structure throughout the
storm.

The Key West International Airport is closed to commercial airlines.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com/jic
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around midnight, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

CLR
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