[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 271732
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ian, located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This activity has changed little in organization over
the last two days. Upper-level winds still appear favorable for some
additional development, and a short-lived tropical depression could
still form during the next couple of days. Further development will
become less likely by the end of the week due to increasing
upper-level winds. The disturbance is forecast to meander for the
next day or so and then turn north-northwestward by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin
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